Open Access
May 2020 Comment: Illusions, Then and Now
Glenn Shafer
Statist. Sci. 35(2): 173-174 (May 2020). DOI: 10.1214/19-STS751


The situation of mathematical statistics today resembles the situation of Laplacean probability in the mid-19th century. Strong claims are made about how probability theory should be used. Yet it is widely misused and increasingly not used in the analysis of data. Perhaps we need a philosophy of probability that makes more modest and realistic claims.


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Glenn Shafer. "Comment: Illusions, Then and Now." Statist. Sci. 35 (2) 173 - 174, May 2020.


Published: May 2020
First available in Project Euclid: 3 June 2020

MathSciNet: MR4106598
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/19-STS751

Keywords: Cognitive illusions , Cournot , foundations of probability , Laplace , Norms

Rights: Copyright © 2020 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.35 • No. 2 • May 2020
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