Reconciling the Subjective and Objective Aspects of Probability

Abstract

Since the early nineteenth century, the concept of objective probability has been dynamic. As we recognize this history, we can strengthen Professor Nozer Singpuwalla’s vision of reliability of survival analysis by aligning it with earlier conceptions elaborated by Laplace, Borel, Kolmogorov, Ville and Neyman. By emphasizing testing and recognizing the generality of the vision of Kolmogorov and Neyman, we gain a perspective that does not rely on exchangeability.