The True Title of Bayes’s Essay

Stephen M. Stigler

doi:10.1214/13-STS438

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Home > Journals > Statist. Sci. > Volume 28 > Issue 3 > Article

August 2013 The True Title of Bayes’s Essay

Stephen M. Stigler

Statist. Sci. 28(3): 283-288 (August 2013). DOI: 10.1214/13-STS438

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Abstract

New evidence is presented that Richard Price gave Thomas Bayes’s famous essay a very different title from the commonly reported one. It is argued that this implies Price almost surely and Bayes not improbably embarked upon this work seeking a defensive tool to combat David Hume on an issue in theology.