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February, 1986 Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography
Christian Genest, James V. Zidek
Statist. Sci. 1(1): 114-135 (February, 1986). DOI: 10.1214/ss/1177013825


This paper addresses the problem of aggregating a number of expert opinions which have been expressed in some numerical form in order to reflect individual uncertainty vis-a-vis a quantity of interest. The primary focus is consensus belief formation and expert use, although some relevant aspects of group decision making are also reviewed. A taxonomy of solutions is presented which serves as the framework for a survey of recent theoretical developments in the area. A number of current research directions are mentioned and an extensive, current annotated bibliography is included.


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Christian Genest. James V. Zidek. "Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography." Statist. Sci. 1 (1) 114 - 135, February, 1986.


Published: February, 1986
First available in Project Euclid: 19 April 2007

zbMATH: 0587.62017
MathSciNet: MR833278
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/ss/1177013825

Keywords: Bayesian inference , consensus , expert opinions , group decisions , pooling , reconciliation

Rights: Copyright © 1986 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.1 • No. 1 • February, 1986
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