Open Access
2014 Hybrid Wind Speed Forecasting Model Study Based on SSA and Intelligent Optimized Algorithm
Wenyu Zhang, Zhongyue Su, Hongli Zhang, Yanru Zhao, Zhiyuan Zhao
Abstr. Appl. Anal. 2014(SI11): 1-14 (2014). DOI: 10.1155/2014/693205


Accurate wind speed forecasting is important for the reliable and efficient operation of the wind power system. The present study investigated singular spectrum analysis (SSA) with a reduced parameter algorithm in three time series models, the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, the support vector machine (SVM) model, and the artificial neural network (ANN) model, to forecast the wind speed in Shandong province, China. In the proposed model, the weather research and forecasting model (WRF) is first employed as a physical background to provide the elements of weather data. To reduce these noises, SSA is used to develop a self-adapting parameter selection algorithm that is fully data-driven. After optimization, the SSA-based forecasting models are applied to forecasting the immediate short-term wind speed and are adopted at ten wind farms in China. Finally, the performance of the proposed approach is evaluated using observed data according to three error calculation methods. The simulation results from ten cases show that the proposed method has better forecasting performance than the traditional methods.


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Wenyu Zhang. Zhongyue Su. Hongli Zhang. Yanru Zhao. Zhiyuan Zhao. "Hybrid Wind Speed Forecasting Model Study Based on SSA and Intelligent Optimized Algorithm." Abstr. Appl. Anal. 2014 (SI11) 1 - 14, 2014.


Published: 2014
First available in Project Euclid: 6 October 2014

zbMATH: 07022894
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1155/2014/693205

Rights: Copyright © 2014 Hindawi

Vol.2014 • No. SI11 • 2014
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