What did Fisher mean by "inverse probability" in 1912--1922?

A. W. F. Edwards

doi:10.1214/ss/1030037907

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Home > Journals > Statist. Sci. > Volume 12 > Issue 3 > Article

August 1997 What did Fisher mean by "inverse probability" in 1912--1922?

A. W. F. Edwards

Statist. Sci. 12(3): 177-184 (August 1997). DOI: 10.1214/ss/1030037907

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Abstract

The method of maximum likelihood was introduced by R. A. Fisher in 1912, but not until 1922 under that name. This paper seeks to elucidate what Fisher understood by the phrase "inverse probability," which he used in various ways before defining "likelihood" in 1921 to clarify his meaning.

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A. W. F. Edwards. "What did Fisher mean by "inverse probability" in 1912--1922?." Statist. Sci. 12 (3) 177 - 184, August 1997. https://doi.org/10.1214/ss/1030037907