The Annals of Statistics

Sequential monitoring of response-adaptive randomized clinical trials

Hongjian Zhu and Feifang Hu

Full-text: Open access

Abstract

Clinical trials are complex and usually involve multiple objectives such as controlling type I error rate, increasing power to detect treatment difference, assigning more patients to better treatment, and more. In literature, both response-adaptive randomization (RAR) procedures (by changing randomization procedure sequentially) and sequential monitoring (by changing analysis procedure sequentially) have been proposed to achieve these objectives to some degree. In this paper, we propose to sequentially monitor response-adaptive randomized clinical trial and study it’s properties. We prove that the sequential test statistics of the new procedure converge to a Brownian motion in distribution. Further, we show that the sequential test statistics asymptotically satisfy the canonical joint distribution defined in Jennison and Turnbull (2000). Therefore, type I error and other objectives can be achieved theoretically by selecting appropriate boundaries. These results open a door to sequentially monitor response-adaptive randomized clinical trials in practice. We can also observe from the simulation studies that, the proposed procedure brings together the advantages of both techniques, in dealing with power, total sample size and total failure numbers, while keeps the type I error. In addition, we illustrate the characteristics of the proposed procedure by redesigning a well-known clinical trial of maternal-infant HIV transmission.

Article information

Source
Ann. Statist., Volume 38, Number 4 (2010), 2218-2241.

Dates
First available in Project Euclid: 11 July 2010

Permanent link to this document
https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aos/1278861247

Digital Object Identifier
doi:10.1214/10-AOS796

Mathematical Reviews number (MathSciNet)
MR2676888

Zentralblatt MATH identifier
1194.62095

Subjects
Primary: 60F15: Strong theorems 62G10: Hypothesis testing
Secondary: 60F05: Central limit and other weak theorems 60F10: Large deviations

Keywords
Asymptotic properties Brownian process response-adaptive randomization power sample size type I error

Citation

Zhu, Hongjian; Hu, Feifang. Sequential monitoring of response-adaptive randomized clinical trials. Ann. Statist. 38 (2010), no. 4, 2218--2241. doi:10.1214/10-AOS796. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aos/1278861247


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